Box Office: Ultimate Underdog
Filed under: Action, Animation, Comedy, Drama, Sci-Fi & Fantasy, New Releases, Box Office, Family Films, Harry Potter, Remakes and Sequels, Box Office Predictions
1. The Simpsons Movie: $71,850,000
2. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry: $19,063,000
3. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix: $17,065,000
4. Hairspray: $15,550,000
5. No Reservations: $11,755,000
This week's new movies involve a flying dog, talking dolls, a klutzy stunt man, a salsa king and Matt Damon. Here's what we've got:
The Bourne UltimatumWhat's It All About: Matt Damon returns in his third outing as rogue agent and amnesiac Jason Bourne, trying to learn his true identity once and for all.
Why It Might Do Well: The first two films in the franchise pulled in $27 million and $52 million respectively on their opening weekends, and since the Bourne Ultimatum is the obvious big gun this week, I suspect the trend will continue.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Could Jason Bourne's luck have finally run out? No, I didn't think so either.
Number of Theaters: 3,500
Prediction: $65 million.
BratzWhat's It All About: In this live action film based on a line of fashion dolls, four girls enter high school and discover the meaning of peer pressure and loyalty.
Why It Might Do Well: Teenage girls looking for more of what Mean Girls had to offer may like this one.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Target demo seems awfully small.
Number of Theaters: 1,700
Prediction: $5.5 million
El CantanteWhat's It All About: Biopic of Hector Lavoe, the salsa king. Not a snack food magnate, but a singer of salsa music. Marc Anthony and Jennifer Lopez star.
Why It Might Do Well: Based as it is on true events, El Cantante offers a genuine alternative to what's out there.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The relatively small release combined with the 18% rating over at rottentomatoes.com suggests that this one will not be raking it in.
Number of Theaters: 600
Prediction: $3 million
Hot RodWhat's It All About: Comedy about a motorcycle stunt man wannabe played by Andy Samberg who plans to jump fifteen buses to raise money for an operation that will save the life of his abusive stepfather.
Why It Might Do Well: The adorable Isla Fisher (the crazy one from Wedding Crashers) for one thing, plus there are some genuine laughs in the trailer for those into broad physical comedy.
Why It Might Not Do Well: I believe there was a motorcycle stunt in The Simpsons Movie, so that quota may be filled for this year.
Number of Theaters: 2,500
Prediction: $11 million
UnderdogWhat's It All About: In this reinvention of the classic cartoon, a dog receives super powers and the ability to talk in a lab accident.
Why It Might Do Well: Jason Lee is the voice of Underdog and a funny guy. Nostalgia appeal will also work in the film's favor.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The aforementioned nostalgia may be tempered by the fact that this new version is pretty far removed from the cartoon's original concept.
Number of Theaters: 2,800
Prediction: $16 million
This week I'm piercing the veil of time by reading tea leaves, or at least that was the original plan. I tossed back several bottles of Snapple before I realized that kind of tea doesn't have leaves, so I just asked my cousin Frank how he thought this weekend's box office might go:
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. The Simpsons Movie
3. Underdog
4. Hot Rod
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry
Last Week's Prediction Rankings
1. Matt: 13
1. Evan: 13
1. Marc: 13
1. Gian1414: 13
1. Opp-Neg: 13
1. Anna07: 13
2. Bubba8193: 12
3. Jason: 10
4. Ness265: 9
4. ElBoracho: 9
4. Ray: 9
4. Josh: 9
4. JimRM: 9
4. Chris: 9
4. Mario: 9
5. Dustin: 7
5. Rufus: 7
5. Curt: 7
5. Lostpicks: 7
6. Gordy: 6
We had a pretty decent response to last week's box office prediction contest, but I'm hoping for more this time around. Come on, you know you want to. No prizes, of course, but I think that would sully the whole experience, don't you? Don't forget to post your prediction for the top five films in the comments section below. One point for every top five movie correctly named, two points for every correct placement, and one extra point for the top movie.









Reader Comments (Page 1 of 2)
8-01-2007 @ 9:07PM
Josh said...
1. Bourne Ultimatum
2. Simpsons Movie
3. Underdog
4. Hot Rod
5. Chuck and Larry
Reply
8-01-2007 @ 9:39PM
Joe said...
1. Bourne
2. Simpsons
3. Hot Rod
4. Underdog
5. Chuck & Larry
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 4:01AM
Curt said...
1. Bourne
2. Simpsons
3. Hot Rod
4. Underdog
5. Harry Potter
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 5:01AM
tangoeco said...
1. bourne
2. simpsons
3. underdog
4. chuck & larry
5. harry potter
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 6:46AM
Gordy said...
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. The Simpsons Movie
3. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
4. Underdog
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 7:33AM
YoungStunna said...
I agree with most of the prediction's however I think El Cantante will be a bit more of a wild card than expected. Especially since it's tomatometer has jumped 9% overnight from 18 to 27%, expect it to continue to do so until it reaches around the 50% range. I also think as Ray, Walk The Line, Selena and many more have proved music bio pic's sell tickets, El Cantante should continue the trend smaller release or not. $5 million prediction or more for El Cantante, this weekend taking in to consideration the old Hector Lavoe fans, J.Lo fans, and the rest of the latino community.
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 8:00AM
ness265 said...
1. Bourne Ultimatum
2. Simpsons
3. Hot Rod
4. Chuck and Larry
5. Underdog
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 10:08AM
Anna07 said...
1. The Simpson's Movie
2. The Bourne Ultimatum
3. Underdog
4. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry
5. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 10:21AM
colby said...
i think people are highly underestimating Hot Rod. The fact that the trailer ran before Transformers, exposing it to a HUGE amount of people, will get it more than 11 mil.
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 12:18PM
Marc said...
1) The Bourne Ultimatum
2) The Simpsons Movie
3) Hot Rod
4) Underdog
5) Chuck And Larry
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 12:24PM
Dustin said...
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. The Simpsons Movie
3. Hot Rod
4. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry
5. Underdog
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 1:20PM
Evan said...
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. The Simpsons Movie
3. Hot Rod
4. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 1:37PM
Curt said...
You may be right Youngstunna, except that it's only opening in 700 theaters. So I seriously doubt it'll crack top ten, though on a per theater basis it could easily win.
Reply
8-02-2007 @ 8:53PM
Opp-Neg said...
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. The Simpsons Movie
3. Underdog
4. Hot Rod
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry
Reply
8-03-2007 @ 10:48AM
ElBorracho said...
1. Bourne
2. Simpsons
3. Underdog
4. Hot Rod
5. Chuck & Larry
Reply
8-03-2007 @ 12:11PM
Greg said...
I think Underdog looks really stupid and will do a lot worse than expected. Of course I've seen the trailer about 100 times because I work in a movie theater and its been playing nonstop in the lobby for the last 2 months, so that might have something to do with it... Anyway,
1. The Bourne Ultimatum
2. The Simpsons Movie
3. Hot Rod
4. Underdog (narrowly beating the #5 spot)
5. I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry
Reply
8-04-2007 @ 1:11AM
Ray said...
1. Bourne Ultimatum
2. The Simpsons
3. Hot Rod
4. Underdog
5. Chuck and Larry
Reply
8-04-2007 @ 2:11PM
Bubba8193 said...
Here is my prediction for the week...
1)The Bourne Ultimatum
2)The Simpsons Movie
3)Underdog
4)I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry
5)Hairspray
Reply
8-04-2007 @ 4:46PM
SupDugs said...
1. Bourne Ultimatum
2. Simpsons Movie
3. Underdog
4. Hot Rod
5. Hairspray
Reply
8-05-2007 @ 2:32PM
jasonsmusicpage said...
1. Bourne
2. underdog
3. simpsons
4. hot rod
5. hairspray
Reply