What Does Danny Boyle's DGA Win Mean for the Oscars?
Filed under: Awards, Oscar Watch
As further proof that it's Slumdog Millionaire's world and we're all just living in it, Danny Boyle won the Directors Guild of America prize Saturday night. Slumdog, nominated for 10 Oscars, was already named best picture by the Producers Guild of America, and it could still win a Writers Guild award, too. Oh, and then there are the Oscars, where it's the front runner to win Best Picture. All of the guilds are fairly good predictors of the Oscars (the guilds' memberships overlap quite a bit with the Academy voters), but none more so than the DGA. In the guild's 61 years of prize-giving, all but six recipients have gone on to win their respective Oscars. So if I were a betting man, I'd put money on Boyle's name being announced on Oscar night.
But with Slumdog now having won the PGA award and the DGA award, surely you are asking yourself: How often has the same film won both awards? And does that mean it's bound to win the Oscar for Best Picture, too?
The short answer is yes. In the 19 years that the PGA has given out awards, it has matched the DGA award 13 times. And of those 13 double-winners, 10 have gone on to win Best Picture at the Oscars. (The three exceptions were Apollo 13, Saving Private Ryan, and Brokeback Mountain.) Ergo, if I'm a betting man, I'm looking at Slumdog.
In other DGA award news, Ari Folman won the documentary prize for Waltz with Bashir, which is nominated for an Oscar, too ... but in the foreign-language category, not documentary. So you're on your own for predicting that one.










Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
2-01-2009 @ 5:10PM
Peter Hall said...
I've never been so angry for the success of someone I want to succeed. Slumdog Millionaire is standard at best and the exposure it is getting is driving me to the drink.
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2-02-2009 @ 3:12PM
rkho said...
I'm extremely upset that The Wrestler didn't get a single direction or picture nod. It's absolutely outrageous. It is easily the best film of 2008. I would rate Slumdog Millionaire in my Top Four of 2008, but absolutely nothing compared to the wonder that is Arofnofsky's fourth film.
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2-02-2009 @ 3:39PM
Christian M. Howell said...
I still Benjamin walking away with Best Pic
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