Box Office Predictions »
Box Office: Enemies On Ice
Filed under: Box Office Predictions
1. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen: $108.9 million ($200 million since Wednesday)
2. The Proposal: $18.6 million
3. The Hangover: $17 million
4. Up: $13 million
5. My Sister's Keeper: $12.4 million
Two new releases this week, each with a historical flair.
Ice Age: Dawn of the DinosaursWhat's It All About: This is the third installment in the popular animated series. This time around our gang of prehistoric pals discover an underground world in which dinosaurs still exist.
Why It Might Do Well: 2006's Ice Age: The Meltdown had a $68 million dollar opening weekend.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Rottentomatoes.com is giving it a disappointing 37%.
Number of Theaters: 3,993
Prediction: $66 million
Public EnemiesWhat's It All About: Michael Mann directs this film about depression-era bank robber John Dillinger.
Why It Might Do Well: Johnny Depp, Christian Bale and Academy Award winner Marion Cotillard make for a compelling cast, and based on the trailer they pull off the period setting quite believably.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Only 57% at Rottentomatoes.com.
Number of Theaters: 3,200
Prediction: $28 million
Box Office: Am I My Transformer's Keeper?
Filed under: Action, Drama, Sci-Fi & Fantasy, Box Office, Comic/Superhero/Geek, Box Office Predictions, Summer Movies
1. The Proposal: $33.6 million
2. The Hangover: $26.7 million
3. Up: $23.4 million
4. Year One: $19.6 million
5. The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3: $12 million
Two wildly different movie coming out this week:
My Sister's Keeper What's It All About: When a young girl (Abigail Breslin) learns she was conceived to create a compatible bone marrow donor for her ailing sister she sues her parents for emancipation.
Why It Might Do Well: This is a smart bit of counter programming since the audience for this movie will probably not intersect with the Transformers crowd. Right now there's a 100% rating at Rottentomatoes.com, though only five reviews are in.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The plot seems pretty heavy for a Summer release.
Number of Theaters: 2,600
Prediction: $9 million
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (Opens Wednesday)What's It All About: Michael Bay directs this big budget special effects sequel about giant alien robots using Earth as their battlefield. Much of the original cast returns including Shia LaBeouf and Megan Fox.
Why It Might Do Well: In addition to having all the effects, action and explosions a Summer blockbuster requires, the first film in the franchise had a $70 million opening weekend and went on to gross $319 million domestically.
Why It Might Not Do Well: A lowly 22% at Rottentomatoes.com.
Number of Theaters: 4,000
Prediction: $98 million
Box Office: One Year, One Proposal
Filed under: Comedy, Box Office Predictions
1. The Hangover: $32.7 million
2. Up: $30.8 million
3. The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3: $23.4 million
4. Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian: $9.6 million
5. Land of the Lost: $9 million
Two new comedies out this week:
The ProposalWhat's It All About: Romantic comedy about a high power executive (Sandra Bullock) who faces deportation back to Canada. In order to stay in the States she plans to marry her assistant (Ryan Reynolds) who she has treated like dirt for years.
Why It Might Do Well: The two leads are appealing as is the supporting cast which includes Mary Steenburgen, Craig T. Nelson, and Betty White.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The basic plot has been done to death in film and episodic TV and there's no shortage of comedies this week.
Number of Theaters: 2,950
Prediction: $28 million
Year OneWhat's It All About: A stone age comedy directed by Harold Ramis and starring Jack Black and Michael Cera as two guys who embark upon adventures after being booted out of their village.
Why It Might Do Well: This kind of has a Life of Brian feel without the religious overtones.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Jack Black can be a real love him or hate him kind of guy.
Number of Theaters: 2,900
Prediction: $24 million
Box Office: Taking This and Imagining That
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Box Office Predictions
1. The Hangover: $44.9 million
2. Up: $44.1 million
3. Land of the Lost: $18.8 million
4. Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian: $14.6 million
5. Star Trek: $8.3 million
Two new flicks this week:
Imagine ThatWhat's It All About: A comedy starring Eddie Murphy as a financial executive who salvages his career with advice from his daughter's imaginary friends.
Why It Might Do Well: I just can't imagine that.
Why It Might Not Do Well: It's no secret that, unless he's voicing an irritating yet amusing donkey, Murphy is not the box office draw he once was. His last feature Meet Dave opened with a mere $5.2 million. It doesn't help that the plot about a father who will no doubt discover the value of family over work has become a kids' movie cliche.
Number of Theaters: 2,800
Prediction: $9 million
The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3What's It All About: Denzel Washington plays a New York City subway dispatcher and John Travolta plays the leader of a ruthless group of criminals who are holding a subway car full of passengers for a hefty ransom.
Why It Might Do Well: The two leads are the big draw here.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Based on twelve reviews Rottentomatoes.com is giving this only 42% and for the most part remakes leave a bad taste in my mouth.
Number of Theaters: 3,000
Prediction: $26 million
Box Office: Lost, Hungover and Ruined
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Sci-Fi & Fantasy, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
1. Up $68.1 million
2. Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian: $24.4 million
3. Terminator Salvation: $16.4 million
4. Drag Me to Hell: $15.8 million
5. Star Trek: $12.6 million
All three of this week's new releases are going for laughs but in very different ways.
The HangoverWhat's It All About: Four friends head to Vegas for a bachelor party blowout, but the next morning the groom is missing, there's a tiger in their hotel bathroom and someone has left a baby with them. Yeah, if I had a nickel for every time...
Why It Might Do Well: Based on the trailer, this is the sort of drunken escapade everyone wishes they could brag about. At the moment Rottentomatoes.com is giving the flick a pretty sweet 100% fresh rating.
Why It Might Not Do Well: There's a lack of star power and some serious competition.
Number of Theaters: 3,200
Prediction: $26 million
Land of the LostWhat's It All About: In this reimagining of the classic Saturday morning TV show, Will Ferrell plays a scientist who finds himself transported to a world full of dinosaurs and lizard people.
Why It Might Do Well: Between the nostalgia factor and Ferrell's box office appeal, there will be some money made here.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Will Matt Lauer's fans keep away after the dissing he takes in the trailer?
Number of Theaters: 3,300
Prediction: $35 million
Box Office: Drag Me Up
Filed under: Animation, Comedy, Horror, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
1. Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian: $70 million
2. Terminator: Salvation: $51.9 million
3. Star Trek: $29.3 million
4. Angels & Demons: $27.4 million
5. Dance Flick: $12.6 million
This week's two new releases show what counter programming is all about. One film is about ascending into the heavens while the other goes straight to hell.
UpWhat's It All About: Animated comedy about an elderly balloon salesman who finally embarks on the adventure he has always dreamed of by attaching thousands of balloons to his house and flying away.
Why It Might Do Well: This is the latest from Disney/Pixar and their track record speaks for itself. Plus the trailers have been delightful and Rottentomatoes.com gives it 100%.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Oh, don't be like that.
Number of Theaters: 3,700
Prediction: $68 million
Box Office: A Night of Dancing and Terminating
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Sci-Fi & Fantasy, Box Office Predictions
1. Angels & Demons: $46.2 million
2. Star Trek: $43 million
3. X-Men Origins: Wolverine: $14.7 million
4. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past: $6.6 million
5. Obsessed: $4.5 million
Heading into the Memorial Day weekend we've got two comedies and one kick ass looking science fiction actioner.
Terminator: Salvation (Opening on Thursday)What's It All About: This fourth film in the Terminator series takes place in the year 2018 and John Connor (Christian Bale) is leading the assault against the machines that want to exterminate humanity.
Why It Might Do Well: Bale's presence gives the series a strength it hasn't had since the departure of Linda Hamilton.
Why It Might Not Do Well: It's scoring a very disappointing 32% at Rottentomatoes.com.
Number of Theaters: 3,500
Prediction: $78 million
Night of the Museum: Battle of the SmithsonianWhat's It All About: Ben Stiller returns as the night watchman who keeps running into living museum exhibits. This time he's sneaking into The Smithsonian to rescue two living museum pieces that have been shipped there accidentally.
Why It Might Do Well: The first film made $250 million.
Why It Might Not Do Well: 44% at Rottentomatoes.com doesn't impress.
Number of Theaters: 4,000
Prediction: $60 million
Box Office: Angels and Demons Arrives
Filed under: Drama, Box Office Predictions
JJ Abrams' Star Trek has managed to revive a classic franchise and took in some serious bucks for its opening weekend. While I didn't expect much from Next Day Air I figured it could at least outdo 17 Again in its fourth week. Nope. Next Day Air finished sixth with $4.1 million. Here's the top five:1. Star Trek: $75.2 million ($79.2 million total)
2. X-Men Origins: Wolverine: $26.4 million
3. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past: $10.3 million
4. Obsessed: $6.6 million
5. 17 Again: $4.3 million
Only one new release this week but it's got some clout.
Angels and Demons
What's It All About: Ron Howard directs and Tom Hanks returns to the role he played in The Da Vinci Code, playing renowned symbologist Robert Langdon who becomes involved with an international conspiracy involving the Catholic church.
Why It Might Do Well: 2006's The Da Vinci Code had a $77 million opening weekend. With Hanks and Howard both returning, it's not too big a stretch to expect similar numbers.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Rottentomatoes.com is giving this an underwhelming 56%.
Number of Theaters: 3,400
Prediction: $60 million
Poll: How Much Will 'Star Trek' Make This Weekend?
Filed under: Sci-Fi & Fantasy, New Releases, Paramount, Remakes and Sequels, Box Office Predictions, Polls
Will young people in space outperform a Canadian dude with claws? No one will know until J.J. Abrams' Star Trek begins screening to the general public tonight, but early reviews continue to be overwhelmingly positive and online advance ticket sales have been brisk, with Fandango claiming in a press release that the film is responsible for 91% of their daily ticket sales. Still, is it only geeks and cult fans who are excited about Star Trek this weekend?
"Let's be realistic: This is not a sure thing," says Logan Hill at Vulture, pointing to the lack of "bankable stars" and his opinion that "it's a reboot of a franchise that's become little more than a punch line to anyone over the age of 25, and simply isn't a firsthand reference for anyone younger." Also, heavy-duty advance online ticket sales were also reported for the R-rated Watchmen, which "underperformed estimates" by drawing (only) $55 million.
Of course, Star Trek is rated PG-13, and is shorter than Watchmen's 163-minute running time. Our own Matt Bradshaw predicted Star Trek would make $82 million this weekend, a few million less than Wolverine's gross last weekend. Other predictions so far have been more modest, ranging from $40 million (Box Office Prophets) to $65 million (Steve Mason at Big Hollywood) to $74 million (Box Office Guru). Variety, however, thinks it can top $100 million.
What do you think? Will Star Trek under perform, drawing only from its fan base? Or will it be an across-the-board, popular smash this weekend? Take our poll and let us know: Which estimate is most likely to be right?
Box Office: Beam Us Up, Scotty
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Sci-Fi & Fantasy, Box Office Predictions
1. X-Men Origins: Wolverine: $85 million
2. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past: $15.4 million
3. Obsessed: $12 million
4. 17 Again: $6.3 million
5. Monsters Vs. Aliens: $5.8 million
Two new releases this week, at least one of which will boldly go where no one has gone before.
Star TrekWhat's It All About: The long-running science fiction franchise gets a reboot, recasting the characters of the original TV series and exploring the early adventures of Captain James T. Kirk and the crew of the starship Enterprise.
Why It Might Do Well: The trailers have been pretty amazing and the plan to market this film as Star Trek for people who aren't Star Trek fans seems to be working. I'm not sure I've ever seen this happen before, but Rottentomatoes.com is giving Trek a 100% fresh rating.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Only a massive dilithium crystal failure could keep this out of the number one spot.
Number of Theaters: 3,500
Prediction: $82 million








